Quicken correctly calculates projected taxes using the correct rates for the applicable income category so this report is strictly related to the Marginal Tax Rate value displayed in the Tax Summary Screen. By not correctly calculating the Marginal Tax Rate, users are led to believe their next dollars of regular income will be taxed at a higher rate than they actually will be.
The calculation used to determine the Marginal Tax Rate to be displayed fails to exclude Qualified Dividend Income (QDI) and Long-term Capital Gains (LTCG) from the equation. It appears Quicken uses the Taxable Income value and compares it to the Tax Rate table to determine which Marginal Rate to display. Quicken should be subtracting QDI & LTCG from Taxable Income before making the comparison to the Tax Rate table to determine which Marginal Tax Rate to display. QDI & LTCG have their own tax rate calculations made separately from regular income. The calculated tax in Tax Planner is correct because the underlying formulas correctly incorporate the separate calculations for QDI & LTCG. It is only the Marginal Tax Rate displayed in the Tax Summary that is at issue.
Stated simply, QDI and LTCG do not cause your Marginal Tax Rate to go up. If all of your income were QDI & LTCG, no matter how high it was, you would still be in the lowest Marginal Tax Rate bracket for your next dollar of regularly taxed income.
To verify the bug, set up a new file (or in your current data file, use the Scenarios feature in Tax Planner) and manually input into the Tax Planner, the Standard Deduction amount as Interest and the second (12%) Tax Bracket amount as Dividend. The Tax Planner Summary screen will show correctly 12% as your Marginal Tax Rate. Now input $100 into the Qualified Dividend input. This drops your regularly taxed income to the 10% Marginal Tax bracket ($100 below 12% bracket amount), but you will see that it remains displayed as 12%. Now add the 22% bracket amount to the LTCG input and you will see the Marginal Tax Rate displayed jump to 22% whereas it should be showing 10% as you still only have $100 less than the 12% bracket amount of regularly taxed income.
Again, Quicken correctly calculates the tax owed because the underlying formulas take into account the separate treatment of QDI & LTCG. It is only the Marginal Tax Rate displayed in the Tax Summary that is at issue and causes users trying to plan their tax obligation to think their next dollars of regular income will be taxed at a higher rate than it actually will be.
Adding- It has come to my attention that Quicken did not update the 0% tax rate threshold for QDI & LTCG to the 2023 values so there is also work to do to incorporate the new tax rate tables for QDI & LTCG into the underlying equations.